Where is this market in its cycle?
Lesson 4 of 6 · Market research & local intelligence
1 · Learn the move · Cognitive verifier
A cognitive verifier forces the model to show its work: which indicators it's using, how confident it is, and every assumption it leaned on. Reading a market cycle is exactly where overconfidence bites, so make AI state its indicators, flag assumptions, and mark missing ones UNKNOWN. The result is a directional read to confirm against the source - not a prediction to bank on.
Read the market cycle, but list your indicators and confidence first.
2 · Your turn. You write the prompt
A seller wants to know if they're listing into a rising or cooling Lakewood market. You have: months of supply 2.4 (MLS, this month) vs 1.8 (MLS, six months ago), median DOM 31 (MLS, this month) vs 19 (MLS, six months ago), median sale price $525,000 (MLS, this month) vs $531,000 (MLS, six months ago). You have no absorption rate and no price-cut share. Write a prompt that reads where Lakewood sits in its cycle, makes AI state its indicators and confidence, flags each assumption, marks the missing indicators UNKNOWN, and labels the read directional.
Remember: the AI sees only your prompt, not this page. If the situation isn't in your prompt, it doesn't exist.
Optional. These shape the output when you run your prompt below, not your score.